Crypto Portfolio Stress Test & Scenario Lab

Analyze your portfolio exposure against major crypto market drawdown scenarios, liquidity contractions, and upcoming token unlocks. 100% private and computed locally.

Portfolio Stress Test & Sensitivity Lab

Local-First & Private Live Feeds

1. Your Holdings

Asset Category Quantity Current Price Total Value Action
Total Portfolio: $0.00

2. Stress Scenarios & Analysis

Bitcoin -20%

-0.00%

Moderate BTC pullback with correlated altcoin decline.

Projected Value $0.00
Projected Loss -$0.00
Drawdown % 0.00%

Portfolio Concentration & Risk Profile

Top Asset 0%
Top 3 Assets 0%
HHI Index 0

Objective Portfolio Observations

  • Add holdings to view risk insights and sensitivity analysis.
Model Version: 1.0.0 | Data Source: CoinGecko / Binance

Sensitivity simulations are deterministic mathematical exercises, not predictions or investment advice. Historical market shocks do not guarantee future correlation.

Stress Testing Methodology

Traditional portfolio tools calculate returns looking backward. The Coins Post Portfolio Stress Test conducts forward-looking mathematical sensitivity analyses by applying simulated market shocks to your current asset allocations.

How Scenarios are Modeled

  • Bitcoin Drawdown Scenarios (-20%, -35%, -50%): During broad market corrections, altcoins exhibit higher beta and reduced liquidity compared to Bitcoin. Our models simulate proportional altcoin and memecoin liquidity contractions based on historical market drawdown coefficients.
  • Layer 1 & DeFi Stress (-35% ETH): Evaluates ecosystem-specific contraction across decentralized finance protocols and Layer 1 alternative networks.
  • Stablecoin Depeg Event (-10%): Stress-tests your cash reserves under liquidity pressure, simulating collateral impairment scenarios.

Understanding Concentration Risk (HHI Index)

The Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) measures portfolio concentration by squaring the percentage allocation of each asset. Scores above 2,500 indicate high concentration, meaning market swings in one or two tokens dictate your entire financial outcome.

Privacy & Data Handling: Your holdings, quantities, and cost bases are processed locally within your browser and are never saved to our database. No wallet connection, seed phrase, or private key is ever requested.